Barletta vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
66.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MES
0 - 2
SSB
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
SSB
3 - 1
ISC
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
USF
0 - 1
SSB
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SSB
1 - 0
SAL
17%
25%
58%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 2
SSB
35%
28%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
LRO
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 3
VIG
86%
11%
3%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ISC
2 - 1
LEC
7%
19%
75%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LEC
0 - 1
MAR
86%
11%
3%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
USF
2 - 0
LEC
11%
21%
68%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | -1 |