Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Panevėžys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
6º
5º
87
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DTE
0 - 2
KZA
11%
20%
69%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 1
BAN
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
KZA
1 - 1
DAI
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 2
KZA
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 1
KZA
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HLI
0 - 0
PAN
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
ZAL
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 1
SUD
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 1
PAN
20%
27%
53%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 2
PAN
13%
24%
62%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |