Spy vs Union Rochefortoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
28%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FOS
1 - 5
SPY
23%
20%
57%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MOL
1 - 6
SPY
23%
21%
57%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SPY
3 - 1
GRA
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SPY
2 - 0
WEP
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +4 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NIS
1 - 3
SPY
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Union Rochefortoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 3
WEP
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NIS
2 - 1
ROC
42%
23%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 1
LIG
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ROC
0 - 1
GRA
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MEU
1 - 1
ROC
15%
17%
68%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |