Spy vs Ligny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SPY
0 - 2
FLA
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
AND
2 - 3
SPY
21%
20%
59%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MEU
0 - 5
SPY
39%
22%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SPY
3 - 2
LOY
46%
22%
33%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ANH
3 - 1
SPY
7%
14%
79%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NIS
2 - 2
LIG
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LIG
1 - 1
ARQ
51%
22%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LIG
1 - 3
WEP
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MOL
0 - 4
LIG
65%
18%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 2
GRA
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |