SpVgg Frechen vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
DUR
5 - 0
SPF
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SPF
3 - 1
SVD
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ALT
0 - 1
SPF
30%
25%
45%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SPF
1 - 1
PES
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BGP
0 - 1
SPF
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
SCF
3 - 4
HUR
35%
23%
43%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
H05
4 - 3
SCF
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SCF
6 - 1
VFL
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 7
DUR
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SVD
2 - 1
SCF
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |