SpVgg Frechen vs FV Endenich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
6º
16º
6º
23
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
95.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 49 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 42 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
41% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
9º
|
45.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 3
SFB
23%
21%
56%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SPF
0 - 2
SPO
43%
23%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SPF
9 - 0
GET
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KON
2 - 2
SPF
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SPF
0 - 3
SVE
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FV Endenich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FVE
3 - 0
FBH
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FVE
1 - 2
BSC
11%
20%
69%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 1
FVE
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BFR
1 - 3
FVE
67%
19%
15%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +3 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FVE
4 - 2
SPV
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |