SpVg Porz 1919 vs SpVgg Frechen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
50.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
16º
12º
55
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BER
3 - 2
SPV
82%
12%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SPV
4 - 1
FVE
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 1
SPV
8%
14%
79%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 0
SVD
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SVA
1 - 4
SPV
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 1
HUR
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
DUS
0 - 3
SPF
14%
21%
65%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 1
SPF
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 2
SPF
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SPF
2 - 4
SIE
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |