Spratzern vs Marchfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GAF
3 - 0
SPR
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SPR
1 - 2
WAI
25%
23%
52%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
WUR
3 - 2
SPR
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
KOT
2 - 4
SPR
80%
14%
7%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SPR
1 - 2
LEO
21%
22%
57%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 0
GOT
77%
15%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GAF
3 - 1
MAN
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 2
MIS
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ZWE
5 - 3
MAN
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -3 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
WAI
2 - 2
MAN
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |