Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
11º
7º
51
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Ameliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 1
AME
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AME
2 - 2
OLI
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
AME
2 - 1
SPT
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
58%
20%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
ATM
0 - 1
LIB
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
5 - 0
CCP
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
JLM
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |