Sporting San Miguelito vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
9º
12º
9º
16
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 1
SMI
31%
29%
41%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 1
SFF
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 0
IND
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UME
1 - 0
SMI
31%
29%
41%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COS
1 - 0
SMI
44%
27%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 2
CHO
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 2
TAU
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHO
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 3
COS
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 1
CHO
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |