Sporting San Miguelito vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
GEM
0 - 1
SMI
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
SMI
1 - 1
TAU
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 1
SMI
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
DGF
0 - 5
SMI
4%
10%
86%
|
64 | 7 | 57 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SMI
0 - 0
ARA
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 2
ARA
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
IND
0 - 0
CHO
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 1
AMA
51%
28%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
GEM
2 - 4
CHO
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
AIC
0 - 6
CHO
5%
12%
83%
|
67 | 17 | 50 | 0 |