Sporting Mertzig vs US Hostert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
ORA
54%
21%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FCB
2 - 3
MER
8%
12%
80%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
STE
3 - 1
MER
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MER
1 - 4
LOR
33%
22%
46%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
PRE
1 - 2
MER
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
USH
1 - 2
UNA
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
JEU
4 - 2
USH
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
USH
2 - 0
FOL
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
USM
0 - 0
USH
32%
25%
44%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
USH
2 - 1
RAC
55%
22%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |