Sporting Mertzig vs Orania Vianden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
MER
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
KEH
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
MLI
2 - 1
MER
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MER
2 - 4
BAS
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
JEU
1 - 2
MER
45%
23%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Orania Vianden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
KEH
0 - 2
ORA
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
ORA
0 - 0
BAS
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BWM
1 - 0
ORA
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ORA
4 - 0
PRE
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ERP
2 - 0
ORA
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |