Sporting Mertzig vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
58.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FFN
2 - 0
MER
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MER
3 - 0
MLI
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
STE
2 - 0
MER
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MER
2 - 4
BWM
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 3
MER
52%
22%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
KEH
3 - 3
LOR
24%
22%
55%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
FFN
2 - 2
LOR
36%
22%
42%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MLI
1 - 1
LOR
25%
22%
53%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LOR
6 - 3
MAR
62%
20%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 2
LOR
39%
22%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |