Sporting Mêda vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
75.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mêda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
7 - 1
SPO
88%
9%
3%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 2
ESP
7%
15%
77%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AMA
2 - 0
SPO
90%
8%
2%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
LUS
5 - 0
SPO
92%
7%
2%
|
12 | 49 | 37 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 6
RDA
8%
15%
77%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 0
GON
27%
27%
46%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAR
65%
22%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
5 - 1
UNM
13%
21%
66%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PED
2 - 1
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 1
CES
38%
25%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |