Sporting Macau vs CSL Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.1%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
84.4%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
6.5%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
4.2%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.5%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
2.3%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
8.1%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4.2%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.9%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-95%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 5
TOI
22%
20%
58%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 7
CPK
6%
10%
83%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MCA
5 - 0
SMA
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 3
CHF
15%
19%
67%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
HSA
5 - 2
SMA
48%
21%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CHF
0 - 1
BEN
35%
21%
44%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
HSA
0 - 8
BEN
11%
14%
76%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 1
LUL
85%
10%
6%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TCK
1 - 4
BEN
17%
16%
66%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
4 - 0
TOI
73%
14%
13%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |