Sporting Macau vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-99%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
LUL
1 - 6
SMA
23%
19%
58%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
BEN
6 - 1
SMA
71%
16%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SMA
1 - 1
WAK
54%
20%
27%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SMA
1 - 0
CHF
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CPO
1 - 8
SMA
55%
19%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 1
WAK
63%
17%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CPO
4 - 4
MCA
37%
20%
43%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 4
CHF
62%
19%
19%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 3
HSA
83%
10%
7%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
CPK
3 - 0
MCA
67%
17%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -2 |