Sporting Macau vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
35%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-116%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PSP
0 - 0
SMA
37%
22%
41%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
SMA
4 - 3
WAK
37%
21%
42%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
9 - 0
SMA
57%
19%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 0
MAC
42%
21%
37%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
KLM
5 - 1
SMA
58%
19%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
WAK
0 - 3
MCA
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MCA
9 - 2
LAI
63%
17%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MCA
7 - 2
CHF
62%
18%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MCA
5 - 1
PSP
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BEN
6 - 0
MCA
55%
19%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |