Sporting CP vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
5.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
SCP
12%
21%
67%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
SCP
4 - 0
BJK
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 0
VIT
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 1
FAM
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 0
MOR
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
VAR
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 2
VIL
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 2
BEN
25%
26%
50%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ACV
1 - 0
VAR
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 2
MAR
25%
26%
50%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |