Sporting CP vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
TON
1 - 4
SCP
11%
21%
68%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SCP
1 - 1
VIT
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
EST
0 - 2
SCP
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SCP
1 - 0
RIO
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 3
SCP
20%
23%
57%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
PAÇ
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
FCP
7 - 0
NAC
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
FEI
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
BEL
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |