Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
TRO
0 - 0
SCP
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCP
25%
27%
48%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SCP
5 - 1
PAÇ
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 1
SCP
22%
26%
52%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
SCP
2 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 3
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
LEX
70%
20%
10%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
SPB
0 - 2
FCP
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
ACA
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
FCP
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |