Sporting CP vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
FCP
1 - 0
SCP
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
VIT
2 - 1
SCP
34%
28%
38%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
SCP
2 - 0
ESP
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
SCP
3 - 2
SEV
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
SAL
1 - 1
SCP
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
CEL
1 - 1
HOM
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
DUN
2 - 1
CEL
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1983 |
CEL
1 - 1
KIL
88%
8%
4%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
CEL
1 - 1
STM
71%
17%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
AGF
1 - 4
CEL
21%
22%
57%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |