Primeira Liga round 20

Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis

Sporting CP Benfica
88 ELO 89
4.2% Tilt 6.5%
97º General ELO ranking 101º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.5%
Sporting CP
23.9%
Draw
30.6%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
Sporting CP
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.6%
Win probability
Benfica
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting CP
+21%
+24%
Benfica

ELO progression

Sporting CP
Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2011
GLA
Rangers
1 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
37%
25%
38%
88 83 5 0
12 Feb. 2011
OLH
Olhanense
2 - 2
Sporting CP
SCP
16%
24%
61%
88 73 15 0
04 Feb. 2011
SCP
Sporting CP
3 - 3
Naval
NAV
80%
14%
6%
88 67 21 0
29 Jan. 2011
EST
Estoril
2 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
15%
24%
61%
89 64 25 -1
24 Jan. 2011
MAR
Marítimo
0 - 3
Sporting CP
SCP
23%
25%
53%
88 79 9 +1

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2011
SLB
Benfica
2 - 1
Stuttgart
STU
58%
21%
21%
89 86 3 0
13 Feb. 2011
SLB
Benfica
3 - 0
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
74%
16%
10%
88 81 7 +1
06 Feb. 2011
VST
Vitória Setúbal
0 - 2
Benfica
SLB
15%
21%
65%
88 71 17 0
02 Feb. 2011
FCP
Porto
0 - 2
Benfica
SLB
44%
24%
31%
89 89 0 -1
30 Jan. 2011
AVE
Desportivo Aves
0 - 4
Benfica
SLB
15%
21%
64%
89 67 22 0