PDL USA Southern Conference Round 3

Sporting JAX vs Inter Gainesville analysis

Sporting JAX Inter Gainesville
23 ELO 20
0.4% Tilt -2.9%
13128º General ELO ranking 11659º
217º Country ELO ranking 205º
ELO win probability
52.9%
Sporting JAX
20.4%
Draw
26.7%
Inter Gainesville

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
Sporting JAX
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
26.7%
Win probability
Inter Gainesville
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

Points and table prediction

Sporting JAX
Their league position
Inter Gainesville
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
33º
10º
12
14º
24º
27º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
25º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Asheville City
32
38
88.5%
Dothan United
30
36
81%
Laredo Heat
33
33
92%
Sarasota Paradise
29
29
100%
Little Rock Rangers
27
27
86%
Tennessee
14º
21
27
73%
Pinellas County
26
26
65.5%
Fort Lauderdale United
26
26
32%
Louisiana Krewe
26
26
24%
Sporting JAX
25
25
10º
92.5%
Nona
12º
21
24
11º
99%
Brave SC
10º
23
23
12º
48%
Hattiesburg
11º
23
23
13º
42%
Columbus United
19º
17
23
14º
53.5%
Denton Diablos
16º
19
22
15º
54.5%
Corpus Christi
13º
21
21
16º
48%
Lonestar SC
18º
18
21
17º
38.5%
AHFC Royals
15º
20
20
18º
15%
SSA Kings
24º
14
20
19º
30%
Birmingham Legion II
20º
17
20
20º
27.5%
Houston FC
17º
18
18
21º
92.5%
Twin City Toucans
22º
14
17
22º
99%
Miami City
21º
16
16
23º
99%
East Atlanta
31º
9
15
24º
86.5%
Kings Hammer Sun City
23º
14
14
25º
82%
Brooke House
26º
12
12
26º
0.5%
Inter Gainesville
25º
12
12
27º
3%
Montgomery United
30º
9
12
28º
2%
Hill Country Lobos
27º
11
11
29º
96%
GFI
28º
11
11
30º
80%
Apotheos FC
35º
5
11
31º
71.5%
McKinney Chupacabras
29º
10
10
32º
71.5%
Weston
32º
8
8
33º
99.5%
Brevard
33º
8
8
34º
99.5%
Red River
34º
6
6
35º
99.5%
Mississippi Brilla
36º
4
4
36º
85%
Houston Sur
37º
2
2
37º
65.5%
Athens United
38º
0
1
38º
46%
Miami
39º
0
0
39º
67.5%
Expected probabilities
Sporting JAX
Inter Gainesville
Next round
0% 0%
Possible next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Sporting JAX
Inter Gainesville
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting JAX
Sporting JAX
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jun. 2025
JAX
Sporting JAX
2 - 0
Nona
NFC
9%
15%
76%
14 47 33 0
12 Jun. 2025
JAX
Sporting JAX
6 - 2
Brevard
BSC
62%
19%
20%
13 10 3 +1
08 Jun. 2025
JAX
Sporting JAX
1 - 0
Inter Gainesville
IGK
12%
16%
72%
11 23 12 +2
05 Jun. 2025
VIL
Brave SC
1 - 2
Sporting JAX
JAX
91%
7%
3%
10 49 39 +1
02 Jun. 2025
IGK
Inter Gainesville
1 - 0
Sporting JAX
JAX
86%
10%
5%
10 23 13 0

Matches

Inter Gainesville
Inter Gainesville
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2025
BHF
Brooke House
1 - 0
Inter Gainesville
IGK
36%
22%
43%
22 19 3 0
08 Jun. 2025
JAX
Sporting JAX
1 - 0
Inter Gainesville
IGK
12%
16%
72%
23 11 12 -1
05 Jun. 2025
IGK
Inter Gainesville
2 - 3
Brooke House
BHF
67%
17%
16%
23 18 5 0
02 Jun. 2025
IGK
Inter Gainesville
1 - 0
Sporting JAX
JAX
86%
10%
5%
23 10 13 0
29 May. 2025
IGK
Inter Gainesville
2 - 1
Brave SC
VIL
19%
23%
58%
16 51 35 +7