Sporting Hortaleza B vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
77.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Hortaleza B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
GSC
7 - 0
SPB
79%
13%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SPB
0 - 3
MOS
13%
21%
67%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FUE
2 - 4
SPB
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +3 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SPB
0 - 2
CLA
18%
22%
60%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
TAJ
3 - 0
SPB
66%
19%
15%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 0
SAG
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ARG
0 - 4
ARA
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
YEB
0 - 4
ARA
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 0
GSC
51%
24%
25%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 2
ARA
50%
24%
27%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |