Real Sporting vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 3
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
RAY
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
RMA
3 - 1
SPO
95%
4%
1%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 2
LEV
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GET
2 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
OSA
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
RSO
1 - 1
VIL
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
MAL
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BET
3 - 1
VIL
45%
25%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |