Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-3
Real Sporting vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
RAY
2 - 2
SPO
41%
29%
31%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1993 |
SPO
4 - 1
RAY
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
SPO
0 - 1
OVI
48%
28%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
CAD
2 - 3
SPO
35%
31%
34%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
SPO
1 - 1
ESP
48%
28%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
OSA
1 - 2
CDT
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
RMA
3 - 0
OSA
83%
12%
6%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
OSA
2 - 0
RSO
47%
28%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1992 |
OSA
4 - 1
AMA
83%
13%
5%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
OSA
1 - 0
ATM
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |