Sporting Fulgor vs Audace Cerignola analysis


16	ELO	47
-0.2%	Tilt	0.3%
37854º	General ELO ranking	1309º
1184º	Country ELO ranking	52º
ELO win probability

6.6%

Sporting Fulgor

13.1%

Draw

80.3%

Audace Cerignola

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

6.6%

Win probability

0.65

Expected goals

4-0

<0%

+4

<0%

3-0

0.2%

4-1

0.1%

5-2

<0%

+3

0.2%

2-0

0.8%

3-1

0.4%

4-2

0.1%

5-3

<0%

+2

1.3%

1-0

2.3%

2-1

2%

3-2

0.6%

4-3

0.1%

+1

5%

13.1%

Draw

0-0

3.5%

1-1

6.2%

2-2

2.7%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

0.1%

0

13.1%

80.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%