Sporting Fingal vs Shelbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Fingal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
SFI
22%
26%
53%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
SFI
4 - 1
FIN
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
SFI
0 - 1
WEX
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
KIL
2 - 3
SFI
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
SHR
1 - 2
SFI
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
SHE
2 - 2
UCD
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
MER
2 - 4
SHE
19%
24%
57%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
SHE
3 - 3
LIM
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
MON
0 - 3
SHE
24%
26%
49%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
SHE
1 - 2
WEX
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |