Sporting Estrada vs San Mamed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+166%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Estrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
BER
0 - 3
EST
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
AMI
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 0
EST
35%
23%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LSA
0 - 1
EST
42%
22%
37%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Mamed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MAM
3 - 2
LSA
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
LAM
1 - 0
MAM
41%
22%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MAM
1 - 1
PCA
69%
17%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 1
MAM
46%
23%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MAM
4 - 2
API
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |