Copa Libertadores Round 4

Sporting Cristal vs Universitario Deportes analysis

Sporting Cristal Universitario Deportes
74 ELO 75
0.1% Tilt -9.3%
758º General ELO ranking 714º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49.7%
Sporting Cristal
25.1%
Draw
25.2%
Universitario Deportes

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.2%
Win probability
Universitario Deportes
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting Cristal
-12%
+18%
Universitario Deportes

ELO progression

Sporting Cristal
Universitario Deportes
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 1999
SPC
Sporting Cristal
1 - 1
Colo-Colo
COL
47%
25%
28%
74 79 5 0
03 Mar. 1999
UCO
U. Católica
1 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
69%
18%
14%
74 78 4 0
24 Feb. 1999
UNI
Universitario Deportes
2 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
46%
27%
28%
74 74 0 0
08 Apr. 1998
SPC
Sporting Cristal
1 - 1
Colón
COL
49%
24%
27%
74 73 1 0
02 Apr. 1998
RIV
River Plate
3 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
80%
13%
7%
75 85 10 -1

Matches

Universitario Deportes
Universitario Deportes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 1999
UCO
U. Católica
1 - 0
Universitario Deportes
UNI
66%
19%
15%
75 78 3 0
04 Mar. 1999
UNI
Universitario Deportes
2 - 0
Colo-Colo
COL
42%
27%
32%
74 80 6 +1
24 Feb. 1999
UNI
Universitario Deportes
2 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
46%
27%
28%
74 74 0 0
19 Nov. 1998
MON
Monterrey
4 - 1
Universitario Deportes
UNI
65%
19%
16%
75 76 1 -1
17 Nov. 1998
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 0
Universitario Deportes
UNI
54%
24%
23%
75 74 1 0