Sporting Cristal vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
SPC
36%
26%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 0
SPC
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
SPC
0 - 2
MUN
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SPC
3 - 0
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
SPC
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 3
MEL
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 1
AUR
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 3
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 0
GAR
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 1
VAL
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |