Copa Bicentenario Perú Semi-finals

Sporting Cristal vs Unión Comercio analysis

Sporting Cristal Unión Comercio
78 ELO 65
5.2% Tilt 18.5%
760º General ELO ranking 2455º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
69.3%
Sporting Cristal
18.4%
Draw
12.4%
Unión Comercio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.4%
Win probability
Unión Comercio
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting Cristal
-9%
+6%
Unión Comercio

ELO progression

Sporting Cristal
Unión Comercio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jun. 2021
AYA
Ayacucho FC
0 - 2
Sporting Cristal
SPC
29%
23%
49%
77 69 8 0
19 Jun. 2021
SPC
Sporting Cristal
3 - 2
Cusco FC
GAR
65%
20%
15%
77 67 10 0
30 May. 2021
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 0
Univ. San Martín
SAM
64%
22%
15%
76 68 8 +1
26 May. 2021
SAO
São Paulo
3 - 0
Sporting Cristal
SPC
62%
20%
18%
77 86 9 -1
22 May. 2021
VAL
Univ. César Vallejo
3 - 0
Sporting Cristal
SPC
27%
24%
49%
78 72 6 -1

Matches

Unión Comercio
Unión Comercio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jun. 2021
UNI
Union Huaral
1 - 1
Unión Comercio
COM
43%
26%
32%
66 62 4 0
23 Jun. 2021
COM
Unión Comercio
0 - 0
Sport Boys Association
SBO
54%
22%
24%
66 63 3 0
19 Jun. 2021
COM
Unión Comercio
1 - 0
Los Chankas
SRP
64%
20%
16%
65 58 7 +1
10 Jun. 2021
COM
Unión Comercio
4 - 1
Alianza Universidad
AUN
56%
22%
22%
65 62 3 0
03 Jun. 2021
COM
Comerciantes Unidos
1 - 1
Unión Comercio
COM
48%
25%
28%
65 63 2 0