Sporting Cristal vs San Simón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
AUR
3 - 4
SPC
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 0
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 1
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 0
AYA
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
SPC
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
CIE
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ALI
34%
30%
37%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
LEO
4 - 0
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
VAL
34%
30%
37%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |