Apertura Peru Round 10

Sporting Cristal vs Juan Pablo II College analysis

Sporting Cristal Juan Pablo II College
77 ELO 42
20.9% Tilt 14.5%
758º General ELO ranking 5508º
Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
75.8%
Sporting Cristal
16.2%
Draw
8.1%
Juan Pablo II College

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.1%
Win probability
Juan Pablo II College
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting Cristal
-1%
+119%
Juan Pablo II College

Points and table prediction

Sporting Cristal
Their league position
Juan Pablo II College
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
19
13º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Universitario Deportes
39
39
100%
Alianza Lima
37
37
100%
Cusco FC
34
34
0%
Alianza Atl. Sullana
34
34
0%
Sporting Cristal
32
32
100%
FBC Melgar
31
31
100%
Sport Huancayo
30
30
100%
Deportivo Garcilaso
27
27
100%
ADT de Tarma
24
24
100%
Cienciano
10º
23
23
10º
100%
Los Chankas
11º
23
23
11º
100%
Atlético Grau
12º
22
22
12º
100%
Sport Boys Association
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Juan Pablo II College
14º
19
19
14º
100%
UTC Cajamarca
15º
19
19
15º
100%
Deportivo Binacional
16º
18
18
16º
100%
Ayacucho FC
17º
15
15
17º
100%
Comerciantes Unidos
18º
11
11
18º
0%
Alianza Universidad
19º
11
11
19º
0%
Expected probabilities
Sporting Cristal
Juan Pablo II College
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Sporting Cristal
Juan Pablo II College
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2025
CCP
Cerro Porteño
2 - 2
Sporting Cristal
SPC
45%
24%
31%
76 78 2 0
19 Apr. 2025
ALI
Alianza Atl. Sullana
1 - 0
Sporting Cristal
SPC
38%
26%
37%
77 75 2 -1
13 Apr. 2025
SPC
Sporting Cristal
1 - 0
Cusco FC
GAR
46%
25%
29%
76 78 2 +1
10 Apr. 2025
BOL
Bolívar
3 - 0
Sporting Cristal
SPC
34%
22%
44%
77 69 8 -1
06 Apr. 2025
UTC
UTC Cajamarca
4 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
25%
25%
50%
78 68 10 -1

Matches

Juan Pablo II College
Juan Pablo II College
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2025
JPC
Juan Pablo II College
1 - 0
Alianza Atl. Sullana
ALI
24%
26%
50%
40 75 35 0
06 Apr. 2025
GAR
Cusco FC
4 - 2
Juan Pablo II College
JPC
72%
19%
9%
40 78 38 0
30 Mar. 2025
JPC
Juan Pablo II College
4 - 2
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
25%
27%
48%
38 69 31 +2
11 Mar. 2025
BIN
Deportivo Binacional
2 - 0
Juan Pablo II College
JPC
76%
16%
9%
38 67 29 0
22 Feb. 2025
ALI
Alianza Lima
1 - 0
Juan Pablo II College
JPC
66%
22%
12%
38 78 40 0