Perú Liga 1 - Etapas Finales Final
Global 0-1
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
26%
22%
52%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 1
SBO
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 3
SPC
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 0
AYA
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
BIN
3 - 4
SPC
15%
20%
65%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
26%
22%
52%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
CIE
1 - 1
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 3
SPC
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 1
ALI
45%
26%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 0
UTC
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |