Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
HUA
0 - 2
SPC
25%
23%
52%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
EME
3 - 0
SPC
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SPC
3 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 4
SPC
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 2
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 0
SBO
47%
25%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 0
BSC
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BSC
2 - 1
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SPC
3 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 4
SPC
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -3 |