Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 0
CIE
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 2
SPC
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 1
SPC
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 3
SPC
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SPC
4 - 1
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ALI
3 - 1
LOS
59%
25%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALI
5 - 0
CIE
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
HUA
0 - 1
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
LEO
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |