Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1978 |
OPE
0 - 1
SPC
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
STR
3 - 1
SPC
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 1978 |
ALI
2 - 2
SPC
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
SPC
2 - 1
UCO
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
SPC
1 - 3
NAC
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1978 |
STR
1 - 2
ALI
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
OPE
0 - 4
ALI
52%
21%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1978 |
ALI
2 - 2
SPC
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
ALI
2 - 0
LDU
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1976 |
CRZ
7 - 1
ALI
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |