Apertura Peru Round 13

Sporting Cristal vs ADT de Tarma analysis

Sporting Cristal ADT de Tarma
78 ELO 77
18.4% Tilt 16.3%
760º General ELO ranking 796º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
50.1%
Sporting Cristal
24.4%
Draw
25.5%
ADT de Tarma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.5%
Win probability
ADT de Tarma
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting Cristal
-7%
-8%
ADT de Tarma

Points and table prediction

Sporting Cristal
Their league position
ADT de Tarma
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
21
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Universitario Deportes
38
39
81%
Alianza Lima
36
37
81%
Alianza Atl. Sullana
31
34
63.5%
Cusco FC
31
32
36%
FBC Melgar
30
31
28.5%
Sport Huancayo
30
31
37%
Sporting Cristal
29
30
44%
Deportivo Garcilaso
27
27
100%
Cienciano
23
26
72.5%
ADT de Tarma
12º
21
24
10º
26.5%
Atlético Grau
10º
22
23
11º
35%
Los Chankas
11º
22
23
12º
44.5%
Sport Boys Association
13º
20
20
13º
55%
UTC Cajamarca
14º
18
19
14º
42%
Deportivo Binacional
15º
17
18
15º
56.5%
Juan Pablo II College
16º
16
16
16º
71.5%
Alianza Universidad
19º
11
14
17º
46%
Ayacucho FC
17º
12
12
18º
46%
Comerciantes Unidos
18º
11
11
19º
77.5%
Expected probabilities
Sporting Cristal
ADT de Tarma
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Sporting Cristal
ADT de Tarma
Comerciantes Unidos
Atlético Grau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2025
SPC
Sporting Cristal
0 - 1
Cerro Porteño
CCP
56%
22%
22%
78 78 0 0
10 May. 2025
AYA
Ayacucho FC
1 - 4
Sporting Cristal
SPC
13%
21%
66%
77 58 19 +1
08 May. 2025
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 1
Bolívar
BOL
58%
20%
22%
77 70 7 0
28 Apr. 2025
SPC
Sporting Cristal
3 - 2
Juan Pablo II College
JPC
76%
16%
8%
77 42 35 0
25 Apr. 2025
CCP
Cerro Porteño
2 - 2
Sporting Cristal
SPC
45%
24%
31%
76 78 2 +1

Matches

ADT de Tarma
ADT de Tarma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2025
ADT
ADT de Tarma
2 - 2
Juan Pablo II College
JPC
68%
21%
11%
78 43 35 0
04 May. 2025
ALI
Alianza Atl. Sullana
2 - 0
ADT de Tarma
ADT
43%
26%
31%
78 76 2 0
28 Apr. 2025
ADT
ADT de Tarma
2 - 1
Cusco FC
GAR
42%
27%
32%
78 78 0 0
20 Apr. 2025
UTC
UTC Cajamarca
0 - 1
ADT de Tarma
ADT
33%
27%
40%
78 70 8 0
13 Apr. 2025
ADT
ADT de Tarma
1 - 1
Deportivo Binacional
BIN
63%
22%
15%
78 67 11 0