Sporting CP Sub 23 vs Mafra Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
9º
6º
12
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
FAR
52%
24%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
5 - 0
SAN
91%
6%
2%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
BES
2 - 2
SPO
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
POR
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 0
RIO
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Mafra Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 1
EST
20%
23%
57%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MAF
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
MAF
79%
13%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 2
FAR
29%
23%
49%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 2
MAF
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |