Sporting CP U23 vs Mafra U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
9º
6º
12
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
FAR
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
5 - 0
SAN
91%
6%
2%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
BES
2 - 2
SPO
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
POR
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 0
RIO
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mafra U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 1
EST
20%
23%
57%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MAF
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
MAF
79%
13%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 2
FAR
29%
23%
49%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 2
MAF
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |