Sporting CP U23 vs Mafra U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
5º
4º
15
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
31 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
GIL
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 1
SPO
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
SPO
62%
19%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
5 - 4
LEX
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mafra U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 1
POR
35%
22%
43%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
GIL
2 - 1
MAF
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 1
FAR
50%
22%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 1
MAF
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 1
FAR
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |