Sporting CP II vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
5º
2º
21
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
1DE
1 - 1
SCP
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SCP
2 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 1
SCP
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AMA
0 - 1
SCP
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
0 - 0
BEL
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ATL
0 - 2
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
4 - 0
LUS
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
AMA
2 - 1
VAR
46%
27%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 0
VAR
39%
28%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |