Sporting CP II vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MAF
2 - 0
SCP
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SCP
0 - 0
FEI
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 3
SCP
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SCP
1 - 1
MAR
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 0
SCP
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 0
OLI
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ACV
1 - 0
FAR
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
FAR
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 3
BRE
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FAR
4 - 1
FEI
35%
28%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |