Sporting CP II vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
11º
5º
31
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GDF
2 - 0
SCP
36%
26%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 1
OLI
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
0 - 1
UDL
28%
25%
48%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AMO
2 - 1
SCP
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
0 - 1
BEL
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 3
UDL
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AMO
4 - 2
CAL
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 1
BEL
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
REA
1 - 2
CAL
31%
28%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
ACA
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |