SC Covilha vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
SPC
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SPC
0 - 0
POR
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LEX
2 - 2
SPC
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FAM
1 - 1
SPC
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 0
ORI
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 1
FEI
31%
29%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 0
VAR
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
AVE
32%
29%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
GFC
1 - 1
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 1
BRA
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |