SC Covilha vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
SPC
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 1
FEI
40%
27%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 1
SPC
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPC
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2004 |
SPC
3 - 2
SAL
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAL
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
FEL
2 - 3
PEN
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
PEN
3 - 1
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 1
MAI
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |