SC Covilha vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
SPC
3 - 1
FAB
60%
19%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
BOA
2 - 1
SPC
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
SPC
0 - 1
SLB
21%
21%
58%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
VIT
2 - 3
SPC
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
SPC
2 - 0
VST
51%
22%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
LGC
1 - 1
ACA
55%
20%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
FAB
3 - 1
LGC
55%
19%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
LGC
3 - 0
FCB
54%
21%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
BOA
4 - 1
LGC
52%
21%
27%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
LGC
2 - 1
FCP
21%
22%
57%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |