SC Covilha vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
IMO
0 - 1
SPC
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
SPC
0 - 1
VAR
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
SPC
0 - 1
ACA
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
FAR
7 - 0
SPC
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
SPC
1 - 1
ESP
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
ACA
2 - 2
SCF
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
NAV
1 - 3
ACA
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
VST
1 - 0
ACA
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
11%
22%
67%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
FCP
7 - 1
ACA
89%
9%
2%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |