Châtelet vs Houdeng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châtelet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SOL
2 - 2
SPO
42%
24%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SGT
1 - 2
SPO
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
PAC
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
SPO
32%
24%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Houdeng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
HOU
0 - 2
RAP
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GOS
4 - 2
HOU
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HOU
3 - 1
AND
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
RAN
3 - 1
HOU
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
HOU
1 - 1
SOI
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |